Chemical industry fertilizer season is expected to resume

Business News Agency July 17 News Nitrogen Fertilizer: Exports expected to drive domestic urea to stop falling as expected. International urea prices rebounded and rebounded. Traders gathered in Hong Kong and renewed their enthusiasm. The price of arrivals in Hong Kong also rose to 2,200 yuan per ton. Large areas of rainfall in the northern region led to a slight increase in domestic agricultural demand; therefore, domestic urea prices ended in the fertile season. If there is not much volatility in the later period, it is expected to form a balance.

The international urea price rebounded on schedule and China's urea export contract has not yet reached its volume. The quotation quickly rebounded to a maximum of US$415/ton, equivalent to an ex-factory price of 2,112 yuan/ton. IPL tendering in India will be announced on the 14th. Iran's low-cost urea is highly competitive. The estimated price is equivalent to the Chinese factory price of about 2,050 yuan/ton.

Guoxin Securities believes that 1. The report is nearing the end of the expected market, and the selection of the relative strengths of the demand and valuation of low stocks. 2. The price of international agricultural products is high, the domestic peak season is expected to recover, and the market for agrochemicals continues: Buying potash fertilizers with strong resource attributes and long-term investment value, Xingfa Group (600141) supports the stock price again, and pays attention to other white horses in the agrochemical sector. The long-term value of the stock. 3. The benefit cost of the civil explosion industry declined. Selected "western regions" and "breakthrough growth bottlenecks" were allocated to Jiulian Development (002037) and Jiangnan Chemical (002226). 4. The development trend of domestic offshore oil fields was determined and the oil price rebounded. CNOOC and CNOOC Engineering (600583) were concerned. 5. The slump in performance and the bad price of refined oil have been exhausted. Sinopec's low P/B ratio deserves attention.

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